Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 206.113044 231.334767 259.163472 292.274131 330.760445 374.281985 427.499921
2025-03-09 167.747496 201.037394 240.905919 292.682327 358.895381 441.763087 554.969591
2025-03-16 144.185748 179.966235 225.080798 287.075923 371.546254 484.865451 652.337412
2025-03-23 129.640689 167.209073 216.607873 287.754786 390.054237 535.824764 766.929462
2025-03-30 116.366005 154.082813 205.385079 282.175137 397.660038 570.889308 862.874714
2025-04-06 107.015678 145.060386 198.406177 281.104055 410.743507 614.826245 979.682978
2025-04-13 96.121091 132.691505 185.206048 268.909038 404.570462 626.711727 1043.790837
2025-04-20 92.550762 130.488967 186.498887 278.740805 434.300004 701.459568 1234.335894
2025-04-27 89.770376 129.118792 188.761387 290.123968 467.814667 787.749099 1466.225711
2025-05-04 84.946354 124.172840 184.921550 290.874215 482.710420 842.218966 1646.115929
2025-05-11 79.107918 117.171228 177.162964 284.055601 482.875123 868.273310 1770.212366
2025-05-18 74.067884 111.064375 170.343191 278.120711 483.800634 895.707670 1903.707283
2025-05-25 71.518103 108.903077 170.055828 284.119724 509.062556 978.975593 2198.727019
2025-06-01 68.084115 105.050984 166.606855 284.002832 522.292852 1039.169506 2454.646243
2025-06-08 64.126736 100.036181 160.726932 278.655852 523.959259 1073.518184 2650.656310
2025-06-15 61.462205 97.029689 158.125541 279.304030 538.301066 1139.952874 2961.462018
2025-06-22 58.130696 92.655425 152.742278 273.925991 538.764272 1172.765504 3180.895042
2025-06-29 55.685963 89.677673 149.677207 272.893299 548.799025 1231.588863 3506.771347
2025-07-06 51.974745 84.248106 141.726394 261.133872 532.716690 1219.424704 3585.300162
2025-07-13 51.309113 84.224637 143.873779 270.614811 567.874971 1352.413330 4244.509946
2025-07-20 50.832292 84.503520 146.598473 281.588251 608.337610 1510.056842 5083.059330
2025-07-27 49.164333 82.484899 144.721687 282.311363 623.231802 1596.140883 5671.261716
2025-08-03 46.788264 79.018778 139.775614 275.738773 618.427607 1620.862831 5998.154259